Keep the Raincoat Handy: Overcast Skies and Late Showers Forecast for Hobart

Overview: A Damp Start to the Working Week

Hobart residents should prepare for a shift in weather as Monday, March 23, 2026, brings a cooling trend and the arrival of precipitation. After a relatively stable weekend, the city is expected to see a transition from dry, overcast conditions in the morning to consistent light rain by the evening hours. While no major weather warnings have been issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, the high probability of rain suggests that outdoor plans for the latter half of the day may require adjustment.

Morning: Foggy and Dry

The day is expected to begin with a touch of autumn chill and the potential for morning fog across the Derwent Valley and lower-lying suburbs of Hobart. Early commuters can expect a dry start to the day, though skies will remain predominantly overcast. Early morning temperatures will hover around the low of 13°C. Despite the cloud cover, visibility may be reduced during the dawn hours, so motorists are advised to exercise caution on the roads.

Afternoon: Increasing Winds and Cloud Cover

As we move into the afternoon, the mercury is expected to reach a maximum of 18°C (64°F). While the first half of the afternoon will likely stay dry, the wind is expected to pick up, coming in from the north-northeast at approximately 10 to 15 kilometers per hour. Humidity levels will remain high, sitting at roughly 84%, contributing to a damp feeling in the air even before the rain begins. The UV index for today is rated at 3 (Moderate), meaning that while it is an overcast day, sun protection is still recommended for those spending extended periods outdoors between 10:00 AM and 4:00 PM.

Evening: Light Rain and Showers

The most significant weather change arrives in the late afternoon and evening. Forecast models indicate a 55% chance of rain during the day, increasing to a 65% chance as night falls. This precipitation is expected to manifest as light but persistent rain rather than heavy downpours. By sunset, which is scheduled for 7:17 PM, the overcast conditions will fully give way to showers. Temperatures will begin to dip back toward the overnight minimum of 13°C, making for a cool and wet night across the city.

Daily Weather Statistics

• Maximum Temperature: 18°C (64°F)
• Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F)
• Rain Probability: 55% during the day, 65% at night
• Humidity: 84% - 85%
• Wind: Northerly at approximately 10 km/h
• UV Index: 3 (Moderate)