Morning Sun Before a Stormy Shift: Hobart's 29-Degree Tuesday

Morning Clarity and Rising Heat

Hobartians can look forward to a bright and inviting start to the day. The early hours of Tuesday, February 17, 2026, will feature mostly sunny skies, providing the perfect window for outdoor exercise or a pleasant morning commute. Temperatures are expected to climb rapidly from an overnight low of 12°C, reaching toward a peak of 29°C by the middle of the day. While the sun will be out, the UV index is forecast to be at a moderate level, so standard sun protection is advised for those spending time outdoors during the peak heat hours.

Afternoon Shift: The Cold Front Approaches

The calm conditions of the morning are not expected to last into the evening. A cold front is currently tracking from the west and is forecast to cross the state during the afternoon. As this system approaches, northerly winds will pick up, increasing from a gentle 15 km/h to a more robust 25 to 40 km/h by the middle of the day. This shift in wind speed and direction is a clear indicator of the changing weather pattern. Residents may notice increasing cloud cover and a distinct drop in pressure as the front makes its presence felt across the Derwent Valley and the city centre.

Evening Outlook: Storms and Showers

Meteorological data suggests a high degree of caution for the late afternoon and evening periods. There is a very high chance—currently estimated at 90%—of rainfall, with the heaviest showers expected to arrive during the late afternoon. There is also the potential for isolated thunderstorms to develop as the front moves through, which could bring brief but intense bursts of rain and localized wind gusts. By the late evening, the winds are expected to turn west-northwesterly and ease slightly to 15 to 25 km/h.

Daily Weather Statistics

• Maximum Temperature: 29°C (84°F)
• Minimum Temperature: 12°C (54°F)
• Rainfall Probability: 90% chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening.
• Wind Conditions: Northerly 25-40 km/h, shifting west-northwesterly late in the day.
• Marine Notice: North to northeasterly winds of 15 to 20 knots in the Derwent Estuary, shifting westerly at 10 to 15 knots.

Given the likelihood of a wet evening, it is recommended to secure any loose garden furniture and ensure that gutters are clear of debris. The transition from a warm 29°C day to a damp, 12°C night marks a significant shift in the local atmosphere, so keep a waterproof jacket handy if you are heading out late tonight.